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Will this be Carl's year?
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Carl’s Turn? After coming close in 2011, can Carl Edwards take the next step and win the Sprint Cup Championship? Don’t bet against it. Ford is the make to beat, especially on the super speedways, and Carl is the Ford to beat. But one has the feeling if it doesn’t happen this year, it may not happen for Edwards.
Is
this the year for Penske Racing? Very possibly. Firing Kurt Busch and replacing him with always
upbeat A. J. Allmendinger will be a huge boost for team morale. Huge.
He’ll also push Brad Keselowski hard, but at the same time be a better
teammate than Busch ever was. Replacing
Steve Addington, who fled Busch before Penske could fire him, won’t be
easy. But Todd Gordon, who will take
over Allmendinger’s car, has proved himself in Nationwide. Allmendinger should win races and Keselowski
could win a bunch of races.
Jimmy
Johnson, Jeff Gordon, Kasey Kahne or Dale Earnhardt, Jr.? Team owner Rick Hendrick says he wants all
four drivers to make the Chase. Ain’t
gonna happen. A couple of them will
certainly make it, but then who makes the run for the title? No reason to believe things will change much
for Gordon or Earnhardt, Jr., so take them off the list. Johnson says the drive is back, but we saw
things on that team last year that hadn’t happened before and no matter what
they say, Chad Knaus being in Africa during pre-season testing was just plain
weird. That leaves Kahne. Can he show the consistency needed to be the
champ? He hasn’t yet.
Can
Tony Stewart re-create the magic? Stewart was having a so-so year in 2011 until the
Chase, then went lights out. Even the
team admits they’re not sure why. With
wholesale changes having been made during the offseason and the addition of
Danica Patrick – and the distractions that go with her – Tony may find himself
right back on the outside looking in.
Is
Joe Gibbs Racing still one of NASCAR’s elite teams? We’re about to find out. A year ago at this time the answer was easy –
absolutely. But the team ended 2011 in
complete disarray with a) a sponsor in open revolt; b) a once vaunted engine
shop in disgrace; c) Kyle Busch one step away from joining his brother on the
unemployment line; d) Denny Hamlin having completely lost confidence; e) the
team botching an opportunity to replace Joey Lagano with Card Edwards; and f)
the departure of two of the team’s three crew chiefs. It will take every bit of Joe Gibbs’ team
building skills to put the pieces back together again. It can be done. Engines are coming directly from Toyota. Championship winning crew chief Darian Grubb
will take over Hamlin’s car. Jason Ratcliff
moves up from a successful Nationwide career to replace Greg Zipadelli, who
never connected with Lagano. We
shouldn’t have long to wait. JGR has
always run well at Daytona and if they don’t this year (and they weren’t very
good in qualifying, 21-27-37), it could be a long, long year. Don’t let Busch’s Bud win fool you.
Any
life left at Earnhardt Ganassi Racing? The team fell completely off the map in 2011
and is in need of a major overhaul. Juan
Pablo Montoya called it “freak’in disaster.”
Yet very little is changing. The
revolving door on the office of JPM’s crew chief is swinging again and may keep
swinging. Montoya himself showed he was
in mid-season form during testing, taking out both Dale Earnhardt, Jr., and
Jeff Burton with one jerk of the wheel.
Happy
Harvick? Devoid of
his truck and Nationwide teams, Kevin Harvick will be focused solely on Sprint
Cup this year; well at least until the little one arrives. Good or bad?
Not an easy answer. Harvick can
be anything but happy at times and has the potential to be a disruptive force
on a team along the lines of Kurt Busch.
Will be interesting to see how the team and Harvick react.
Can
NASCAR survive all-Danica all the time? There appears no truth to the rumor Speed is
considering a Danica channel, although they’ve been generating enough
content. Loved Danica handling the color
for Fox during the Bud Shootout. And how
many Cup races has she run? Once the
season starts, the Danica story remains a story only if she is
competitive. The quality of the team
should make her a Nationwide story. Not
so on the Cup side.
Make-it
or break-it year for Michael Waltrip Racing?
MWR has made wholesale changes, dumping “The
Franchise,” David Reutimann, for Clint Bowyer.
They also added Mark Martin to run 25 races with a hodgepodge of other
drivers, including Waltrip himself, filling in the open dates. Martin Truex showed signs of contending late
last year and is in a contract year. Interesting
to see how this all comes together – or if it all comes together.
What
becomes of Bayne and Stenhouse? Two of NASCAR’s brightest young stars, Trevor
Bayne and Ricky Stenhouse, have only limited plans for 2012 under the Jack
Roush banner. Bayne, the defending
Daytona 500 champion, currently will run only about 15 races for the Wood
Brothers unless additional sponsorship can be found. Stenhouse, the defending Nationwide champ, is
assured of ride only in the Daytona 500 in the unsponsored No. 6. After that, it may be back to Nationwide for
Stenhouse, although even a full season there is in jeopardy due to a lack of
sponsors.
The
Pack is Back?
The Bud Clash appeared to be more of hybrid of yesterday’s pack racing
than a return to the pack. Not sure if
the Bud Shootout really told us anything.
One thing to watch when the 500 starts, the battle to see who can get to
the back of the pack the fastest.
How big of an impact will EFI have this year? Big. Teams
discovered during Daytona testing that a hot engine equipped with electronic
fuel injection, once stalled, is hard to re-start. Watch for at least one of the frontrunners in
the 500 to lose a chance at winning after stalling during a pit stop. On the flipside, EFI will increase the precision
of fuel conservation and as a result we’ll probably see fewer fuel economy
races in 2012. Ford says it has a qualifying
setting for its EFI and that may be one reason they were so dominate at Daytona.